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Reading: Lemonade Will Insure Tesla’s Self-Driving Vehicles. Does That Make LMND a Robotaxi Inventory to Purchase?
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PhreeNews > Blog > World > Business > Lemonade Will Insure Tesla’s Self-Driving Vehicles. Does That Make LMND a Robotaxi Inventory to Purchase?
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Lemonade Will Insure Tesla’s Self-Driving Vehicles. Does That Make LMND a Robotaxi Inventory to Purchase?

PhreeNews
Last updated: January 27, 2026 7:23 pm
PhreeNews
Published: January 27, 2026
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Lemonade (LMND) is within the information after asserting the event of a brand new insurance coverage coverage for self-driving vehicles, starting with the Full Self-Driving (FSD) system provided in Tesla (TSLA) automobiles. The information was met with an instantaneous response within the inventory market. LMND inventory noticed an uptick in shares — up 9% on Jan. 21 and 13% on Jan. 22 — as did Tesla inventory.

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Probably the most outstanding a part of the announcement was unattainable to miss: Lemonade is promising to lower its per-mile charges by about 50% with FSD enabled, primarily based on knowledge that demonstrates accident charges lower considerably with FSD mode engaged. Moreover, Lemonade anticipates that its insurance coverage premiums will proceed to lower as Tesla improves its FSD software program packages in future releases. Merely acknowledged, Lemonade is betting that improved autonomy interprets into decreased danger that will probably be capable of precisely assess for his or her policyholders.

This additionally comes at an essential time as traders reassess the insurance coverage, knowledge, and AI nexus. Utilization-based pricing fashions have at all times been a sought-after objective within the automotive insurance coverage house, though entry to Tesla automotive knowledge might probably symbolize a paradigm shift.

Lemonade, a tech-enabled insurance coverage firm serving renters, householders, pets, life, and most not too long ago auto insurance coverage insurance policies, has established itself as a tech-driven various to conventional insurers utilizing AI, automation, and behavioral economics. Lemonade has a complete valuation of round $7. billion by way of market capitalization and relies in New York.

LMND inventory has skilled a formidable run. In truth, the inventory has risen by 181% within the final 12 months alone, buying and selling for round $93 per share, simply in need of its $99.90 excessive. Within the final 12 months, the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has risen by solely a fraction of the beneficial properties skilled by LMND. Therefore, speculative future beneficial properties could be gauged from the efficiency of the inventory.

https://www.barchart.com

LMND inventory remains to be extremely valued. Lemonade will not be but worthwhile and at present trades at 10.35 occasions gross sales and greater than 13 occasions guide worth. These valuations far exceed these of conventional insurance coverage corporations. Nonetheless, the case for Lemonade is a unique enterprise mannequin — one powered by AI underwriting and a rising loss ratio.

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The corporate’s current quarterly outcomes assist the notion of traders being keen to pay up for LMND inventory. Within the third quarter, In Drive Premium got here to $1.16 billion, representing a 30% improve year-over-year (YOY), the corporate’s eighth consecutive quarter of development. Gross revenue greater than doubled to $80 million in Q3, with gross margins growing to 41%, or 14 factors above final 12 months’s determine.

Maybe as important, the corporate’s gross loss ratio declined to 62%, the bottom in its historical past. Wanting on the 12 months trailing the present quarter, the loss ratio is at 67%, implying that Lemonade’s AI-based fashions are beginning to achieve traction. Adjusted EBITDA losses have been additionally reduce in half as the corporate produced an adjusted free money move (FCF) of $18 million through the quarter.

Administration emphasised that these enhancements have been achieved even if the agency’s spend on advertising was over thrice higher. Attributable to higher segmentation and pricing enabled by the ability of synthetic intelligence, the agency was capable of preserve its lifetime worth to buyer acquisition price ratio of three:1 whereas additionally holding its working prices (excluding development investments) flat. The Tesla FSD initiative is a first-rate instance of those above components coming collectively.

Wall Road, nonetheless, nonetheless stays cautious about LMND inventory with a “Maintain” consensus score and a imply goal worth of $63.40, considerably beneath the present buying and selling worth. This means that the inventory nonetheless has appreciable draw back potential if the corporate fails to ship on expectations.

Whereas the best worth goal for Lemonade is $98, the bottom goal is $30 per share. From a sure viewpoint, the partnership between Lemonade and Tesla solely serves to assist the bullish narrative that the previous is reworking right into a data-centric insurance coverage platform aligned with the way forward for autonomous mobility. From one other viewpoint, although, a big portion of that optimism is solely priced into the inventory, whereas profitability remains to be a piece in progress.

https://www.barchart.com
https://www.barchart.com

On the date of publication, Yiannis Zourmpanos didn’t have (both immediately or not directly) positions in any of the securities talked about on this article. All data and knowledge on this article is solely for informational functions. This text was initially revealed on Barchart.com

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