There’s a very actual universe during which the ACC misses the playoffs, and two non-power-conference groups sneak in. In most years, I’d like to dwell in that world, however I don’t suppose there are two groups that may compete within the playoffs this yr.
For this train, we’re going to assume that Virginia takes care of enterprise, and the Group of 5 is enjoying for the twelfth seed. Three groups are preventing for one spot, so I’m going to rank these groups by who I feel is one of the best wager to make the playoffs. UNLV technically isn’t eradicated but, however I’d be shocked in the event that they have been capable of leap over JMU or both workforce preventing out of the AAC.
With these tips out of the best way, let’s get into the rankings.
JMU +130
Of the three Group of 5 groups with an actual shot at making the playoffs, JMU has the bottom odds to make it. Nevertheless, I feel they’re one of the best wager as a result of they’re 23.5-point favorites of their convention championship.
North Texas and Tulane are enjoying an elimination recreation towards one another, and if neither of them impresses — and JMU can blow out Troy — that may make a superb case for the ultimate playoff spot.
Exterior of a straightforward convention championship, the Dukes have a really stable résumé. Their solely loss is to an excellent Louisville workforce, with whom they have been tied going into the 4th quarter. They beat six bowl-eligible groups, they usually have the very best energy of document of the three groups. Hopefully, the committee ignores their weak energy of schedule on this situation.
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North Texas -135
There’s nothing that individuals love extra in school soccer than a terrific story, and North Texas has simply that.
If you happen to haven’t heard by now, Drew Mestemaker by no means performed a varsity snap as a quarterback in highschool, walked on at North Texas, and is now the FBS chief in passing yards. It’s a narrative Disney wouldn’t even attempt to write as a result of it sounds so ridiculous.
North Texas has by far one of the best offense within the Group of 5. I desire when a Group of 5 workforce leans on their offense as an alternative of their protection, as that performs higher towards stiffer competitors.
The one motive I don’t have them as my primary workforce is that their odds aren’t nice, they usually bought blown out in considered one of their two conference-play challenges towards USF. Additionally, North Texas’s energy of schedule will go up after they play Tulane, however for all this speak of JMU enjoying such a straightforward schedule, North Texas really has a decrease energy of schedule as of now.
I simply don’t see how they’re at present the favourite.
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Tulane +115
I’ve Tulane in third as a result of they’ve two losses. On the finish of the day, the committee is made up of people, and having two losses on their schedule makes issues an uphill battle. Nevertheless, Tulane is the one workforce right here to schedule difficult out-of-conference video games and win them.
They beat Duke, who would possibly win a convention championship, and Northwestern, who’s enjoying in a bowl recreation. Nevertheless, the losses are tough. Ole Miss fully outclassed them, and UTSA ran them out of the Alamodome.
We’re nonetheless ready to see if the committee respects high quality wins or amount of losses extra — that’s why I’m unwilling to wager on them to make the dance.
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